Pre-tourney Rankings
North Dakota St.
Summit League
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#164
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#176
Pace67.9#158
Improvement-7.0#342

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#108
Improvement+1.1#109

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#236
Improvement-8.1#343
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 137   @ San Francisco W 73-65 30%     1 - 0 +13.7 -7.5 +20.4
  Nov 12, 2011 198   Louisiana W 78-58 58%     2 - 0 +18.1 +11.3 +7.3
  Nov 13, 2011 338   Northern Arizona W 70-58 92%     3 - 0 -3.6 -3.4 +0.9
  Nov 16, 2011 176   Green Bay W 65-61 66%     4 - 0 +0.0 -9.7 +9.6
  Nov 26, 2011 177   Fresno St. W 78-65 66%     5 - 0 +8.9 +2.7 +6.0
  Dec 01, 2011 179   @ Western Illinois L 51-55 40%     5 - 1 0 - 1 -1.3 -13.2 +11.6
  Dec 03, 2011 194   @ IUPUI W 84-79 44%     6 - 1 1 - 1 +6.6 -0.7 +6.8
  Dec 10, 2011 225   @ Arizona St. L 57-60 51%     6 - 2 -3.0 -11.0 +7.8
  Dec 22, 2011 56   @ Minnesota L 59-63 15%     6 - 3 +7.5 -2.3 +9.4
  Dec 28, 2011 153   Oakland W 96-69 59%     7 - 3 2 - 1 +24.8 +3.9 +17.8
  Dec 30, 2011 269   Purdue Fort Wayne W 84-68 82%     8 - 3 3 - 1 +6.4 +3.7 +2.2
  Jan 05, 2012 87   @ Oral Roberts L 80-89 20%     8 - 4 3 - 2 +0.1 +15.7 -16.4
  Jan 07, 2012 232   @ Southern Utah W 72-69 OT 53%     9 - 4 4 - 2 +2.5 -2.2 +4.6
  Jan 12, 2012 283   UMKC W 55-54 84%     10 - 4 5 - 2 -9.5 -15.3 +6.1
  Jan 14, 2012 278   South Dakota W 82-59 84%     11 - 4 6 - 2 +12.7 -1.1 +12.8
  Jan 17, 2012 272   @ North Dakota L 54-59 62%     11 - 5 -8.0 -12.3 +3.8
  Jan 21, 2012 60   South Dakota St. L 88-91 OT 34%     11 - 6 6 - 3 +1.4 +3.6 -1.9
  Jan 26, 2012 269   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 66-75 62%     11 - 7 6 - 4 -11.8 -4.7 -7.6
  Jan 28, 2012 153   @ Oakland W 78-75 34%     12 - 7 7 - 4 +7.6 +7.6 +0.3
  Feb 02, 2012 232   Southern Utah W 85-64 76%     13 - 7 8 - 4 +13.7 +11.9 +2.3
  Feb 04, 2012 87   Oral Roberts L 76-85 42%     13 - 8 8 - 5 -6.7 +5.3 -12.5
  Feb 09, 2012 283   @ UMKC L 61-72 65%     13 - 9 8 - 6 -14.6 -7.5 -8.5
  Feb 11, 2012 278   @ South Dakota W 82-71 64%     14 - 9 9 - 6 +7.5 +6.4 +1.2
  Feb 15, 2012 60   @ South Dakota St. L 57-80 15%     14 - 10 9 - 7 -11.8 -5.9 -9.2
  Feb 18, 2012 175   Western Michigan W 86-73 65%     15 - 10 +9.1 +8.9 +0.1
  Feb 23, 2012 194   IUPUI L 68-74 70%     15 - 11 9 - 8 -11.2 -11.2 +0.0
  Feb 25, 2012 179   Western Illinois L 64-77 66%     15 - 12 9 - 9 -17.1 +2.3 -21.4
  Mar 04, 2012 179   Western Illinois L 53-58 54%     15 - 13 -5.7 -6.3 -0.4
Projected Record 15.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%